I met a bunch of strangers who were down to play some Jumpstart.
Commander is the most popular format today and we agreed to try a multiplayer Jumpstart game.

I know what some of you are thinking. Jumpstart is not designed for multiplayer games. I agree and the experience was rather unexciting for multiplayer dynamics.

The game was fairly slow but here is how it broke down.

1st)

2nd)
3rd)
4th)

Overall experience

Feathered Friends & Wizards came in first. However, it was dead last for most of the game. In fact Reanimated Insects became the biggest threat very early and was most likely to win for most of the game.
The winning cards from Feathered Friends were Angel of the Dire Hour and Gale Swooper.

From my observation Emiel the Blessed was the easiest to misplay.

In this post, I am going to answer some basic questions using statistics.

How many possible combinations are there?

There are 36 packs in the box. You will pull 2 packs at random. The number of combinations is defined as:

$$\frac{n!}{(r! * (n-r)!)}$$

Where $n$ is the total number of packs and $r$ is the number of packs you are choosing.

This yields 630 possible combinations. If an Arkhive 800+ is fully loaded with 42 packs (the max it can hold) then there would be 861 possible combinations.

How do combinations work out as players select packs?

If we are hosting a table with 8 players and each player is taking 2 packs then 16 packs will be used. Again let us assume that the box holds 36 packs.

However, it is not correct to say that each player has 630 possible combinations. Assume for a moment that player A takes both of their packs (at random) before the next player.

This means that the possible combinations reduce the lower you are on the picking order. It breaks down something like this:

What are the odds that your first pack is a ____-colour theme?

There are 36 themes in the box with 7 themes per mono-colour section and 1 multi-colour theme. If you select 1 pack at random.

$$\frac{35}{36}$$

The probability of choosing a mono-colour theme is: 0.972...

$$\frac{1}{36}$$

The probability of choosing a multi-colour theme is: 0.027...

What are the odds that your first pack is a given mono-colour?

There are 36 themes in the box with 7 themes per mono-colour section and 1 multi-colour theme. If you select 1 pack at random.

$$\frac{7}{36}$$

The probability of choosing a or or or or theme is: 0.194...